Decision-Making Tools For Executives

How is it that companies possessing capable and experienced executive and management teams still fail to take the right actions, or to solve problems when the solutions appear before them? The answer most often lies in conservatism.

Contrary to the popular image of the bold entrepreneur, the true nature of business is conservative. When you manage to build a value chain that produces revenue, the last thing you want to do is disturb that income production. First and most importantly, leaders have to possess the cautionary instinct that prevents their destroying the company.

Often the caution of each individual executive is magnified in a group of similarly minded managers. In board meetings, committees, fact-finding teams, and decision-making caucuses, the slightest trace of uncertainty is generally enough to delay final approval, or kill a prospective project.

How can companies move beyond these reactive reversals, and calculate the correct course despite personal misgivings? Much of the solution lies in modeling the possibilities. James Taylor, who writes extensively on enterprise decision management (EDM), explains one of the elements of corporate decision-making, the concept of Champion and Challenger.

“Champion/Challenger is an important concept. The idea is that you identify your current approach as a ‘Champion’ – documenting the business rules and analytic models that together represent your best approach to a given decision. “Challenger” approaches are then developed. Each Challenger differs from the Champion in some measurable and defined way. Perhaps it has different business rules, perhaps it uses a different risk model, perhaps it is more aggressive about retaining customers. Each Challenger will therefore deliver different results from the Champion.” See Adaptive Control: Champion/Challenger

This is taken from Taylor’s series of articles on Adaptive Control, which is a key concept to successful EDM.

“Adaptive Control is about continuously improving the way you make decisions. Some of these changes will come from changing business conditions that force a change in the approach being taken to the decision. Mostly, however, it is a case of making a decision better and better over time to boost profits, reduce losses, or improve retention.” From Why do you need Adaptive Control?

Taylor gives the technology architecture required to deploy these decision-making processes as software tools that IT and business managers can use together, to model the future path of the company. Taylor supplies a full exposition which should be read. We quote it in brief here:

“To support adaptive control, your production environment needs to support the deployment of multiple Challenger approaches to the existing Champion while business users need access to simulation tools.” See Adaptive Control: Technology Architecture

All this serves to illustrate that the enterprise has ways available to simulate potential and imagined scenarios, and ways to calculate results of actions. Other tools and possibilities exist, and we'll look at them in the future. For the moment we want to consider the politics and dynamics of how a company improves its decision process.

As we said yesterday, IT can be a large force in the evolution of the company’s thinking, playing far greater a role than it currently does.

It is not likely that business people within any company will understand the kinds of tools they can have to work with; it’s far more likely that IT people will appreciate the advent of new technical opportunities – but how will this knowledge translate into executives getting new tools?

CIOs in recent years have focused on cutting costs and improving efficiencies, but now the CIO mandate is changing to one of delivering agility to the enterprise. Part of this involves creating information systems that aid the executive and management layers in seeing what’s happening now, and choosing correct actions. For more information see for example, A new day may be dawning for CIOs. Will they be ready?

Nicholas Carr remains skeptical that CIOs can deliver. It may be that their position is simply too proscribed to allow them to help with innovation.

“They both believe that most CIOs serve mainly a control function rather than one of innovation.” That’s a big change from the prevailing view about the direction of the CIO job at the dawn of this decade, when it was commonly assumed that the IT department would become the locus of not just IT innovation but business innovation in general.” From Are CIOs “dead weight”?

So how will the decision makers of the modern enterprise loosen their hierarchical caution enough to become as agile as the technology they want to deploy throughout their company?

It may be that the best answer lies with the technology itself. If managers don’t know enough about the software tools they could be employing, and if CIOs aren’t in a position to step beyond the urgent constraints of operations, then innovation in management process may just come from technology.

Technology will end up on the executive’s desktop one way or another. As we’ve mentioned, Enterprise 2.0 is coming, either outside of IT’s control or within its guidance. Social media are coming to the top layers, and the naked company at the CEO level is a phenomenon worth examining.

All of the tools enjoyed by the lower levels of the workforce, and the highest levels, such as integrated knowledge management systems, wikis, blogs, and mashups, are working their way into decision-making management. Software developers are exposing all business processes to software numeration, turning data into information with meta descriptions.

Eventually the decision makers themselves will innovate new workflows in their own ways of making decisions, and this will happen because – whether by the hand of IT or behind IT’s back – new software tools will have arrived to enable this change.

Published Friday, April 20, 2007 3:41 PM
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